[Inky]

Z Roskosmosem może jest słabo, ale wiele ośrodków badawczych optymistycznie podchodzi do rosyjskiej gospodarki, a przynajmniej przewidują powolne wzrosty w następnych miesiącach-kilku latach. Zwracają uwagę na obcinanie i konsolidację wydatków publicznych, sugerują, że Rosja wychodzi z recesji z zastrzeżeniem, że długoterminowe możliwości wzrostu gospodarczego są obarczone problemem cen ropy i niskiej produktywności.

https://tradingeconomics.com/russia/rating
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/...n-forecast
https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo...update/01/
http://www.worldbank.org/en/country/russ...cation/rer

Podsumowanie z Banku Światowego:

-Amidst weakening external headwinds, rising oil prices, and growing macro-stability, the Russian economy showed encouraging signs of overcoming the recession it entered in 2014.
-Headline economic and financial trends and indicators are improving.
-In Russian regions, adjustment has taken place through massive expenditure cuts, as opposed to revenue mobilization, with social sectors and capital spending hit the hardest.
-The government passed a three-year federal budget law and introduced currency interventions in the domestic market.
-Expenditure consolidation – more than revenue mobilization – is the central plank of the three-year federal budget law.
-Consumption is expected to drive growth in 2017-2019, with investment playing a supporting role.
-Russia's growth projections remain sensitive to oil prices.
-The poverty rate is expected to decrease because of decelerated inflation and recoveries in private incomes and consumption.
-The medium-term prognosis of the Russian economy is favorable. However, Russia’s longer-term growth prospects remained constrained by its low productivity.