[lumberjack]

A całe to rozumowanie tak Trumpa jak i Lumbera wygląda mi trochę na coś w stylu "nawpuszczali uchodźców to teraz oni im molestują kobiety i kradną".

Ale Trump ma bezpośrednie dane z CIA

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Poza tym nie wiem czy zauważyliście jedną istotną sprawę. To nie są statystyki przestępstw zgłoszonych odpowiednich organom. Te badania bazują na ankietach w których ktoś anonimowo deklarował, że padł ofiarą przestępstwa Uśmiech

Jeśli są to tak mało ważne ankiety, to skąd cała afera?

Tutej coś ciekawego znalazłem:

Perhaps the more reliable figure is the 19% increase in violent crime recorded by the police over the past year, including an 8% increase in the underlying murder rate.

What do the statisticians say about what lies behind this accelerating increase in crime in England and Wales? “The 13% increase in police recorded crime from the previous year reflects a range of factors including continuing improvements to crime recording and genuine increases in some crime categories, especially in those that are well-recorded,” say the UK’s Office for National Statistics.

So the increasing pace of terror attacks in England this year is not the cause? No, the ONS does not say that the attacks, let alone radical Islam, are among the causes of rising crime. Indeed, they go further and explicitly exclude the 35 victims of the Manchester and London terror attacks from the official homicide count for the year.

They report that the number of homicides in England and Wales jumped by 46 victims to 629 – a rise of 8%. In British terms this is a worrying trend and put alongside a 26% increase in knife crime and 27% increase in gun crime amounts to an issue that the prime minister, let alone the home secretary, ought to be alarmed about.

Yet, unlike Trump, neither saw fit to comment on the figures on Thursday, leaving it to a junior Home Office minister to explain what they are doing about it.

As for Trump, he might like to reflect that the 629 homicides in England and Wales – population 53 million – in the past 12 months is somewhat below the 2016 death toll of 758 in the single US city of Chicago, population 2.7 million.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2017...me-figures